Posts Tagged ‘Technical Analysis’
Thursday, July 23rd, 2009
There are different kinds of crossovers that traders use to generate buy signals. I personally use moving average crossovers, price & moving average crossovers, macd crossovers and stochastic crossovers. You can easily find stocks with these patterns at http://www.dojispace.com.
MACD Crossover
Let’s look at the following stock, KHD. MACD crossover occurs 4 times on the chart, and each time the stock went up quite a bit right after.

Stochastic Crossover
Stochastic crossover works pretty well for the following stock, AMED. There were 5 stochastic crossovers for this stock, and the stock went up after the crossovers. If you look at the chart carefully, the stock seems to be more bullish when the stochastic crossover is sharper.

Again, technical analysis is all about pattern recognition. You can get in when you find a pattern that you think is profitable and get out when that pattern breaks. That’s why you need to watch a lot of stocks. Some stocks might work out, some don’t. In the past few years, I’ve seen people lose money because they tend to hold their stocks too long even after the pattern is broken. What they did is the following
1. They find a pattern on a stock and buys it.
2. The stock drops and the pattern is broken.
3. They keep holding the stock, hoping it will go up again.
4. Their losses are getting bigger and bigger, eventually destroying their whole portfolio.
5. They decide to move on by either giving up completely or looking for other stocks.
This is not going to work. There is no magic in technical analysis and it doesn’t work all the time. You need to learn to get out of the trade when the pattern is turned against you. You may argue, “what if the stock did go up when after you sell the stock?” This happens all the time, but what if the stock doesn’t go up and goes bankrupt instead? You will lose all your money on one single stock. To win the game, you need to be disciplined instead of hoping.
Tags: amed, crossovers, dojispace, khd, macd crossovers, moving average crossovers, price crossovers, stochastic crossovers, Technical Analysis, technical indicators Posted in Technical Analysis | Comments Off
Wednesday, July 22nd, 2009
Learn The Stock Market Lesson — Reading Candlesticks Charts and Point and Figure Charts
Candlestick Charts
On a candlestick chart, you will see a line of candles, each representing a day of trading. Every candle has a body and two wicks, one above and one below. The body of the candle represents the spread between the opening and closing prices. The tip of the top wick represents the high price of the day and the tip of the lower wick represents the low price of the day.
Candlestick chartists believe that the most important piece of daily data is the relationship between the opening and closing prices, represented by the body of the candle. If prices close lower than they opened, the body is black and if the prices close higher, the body is white.
The downside to using candlestick charts is that the candles take up a lot of space. For example, a bar chart shown on a computer screen can show six months of daily data, without having to adjust the scale. Candlestick charts, in that same space, will only reveal about two months of data.
Point and Figure Charts
Point and figure (P&F) charts are based only on prices and disregards volume. Unlike bar and candlestick charts, they do not have a horizontal time scale. Point and figure charts consist of columns that have a series of stacked Xs or Os. A column of Xs is used to represent a rising price, while a column of Os represent a falling price.
P&F charts make congestion areas stand out, which helps traders find levels of support and resistance.
Tags: bar chart, candlestick charts, congestion areas, p&f charts, point and figure charts, Technical Analysis, the stock market, types of charts Posted in Learn The Stock Market, Technical Analysis | 2 Comments »
Saturday, July 18th, 2009
There are basically 3 types of triangle patterns in technical analysis: symmetrical, ascending, and descending. They usually represent continuation patterns.
Bullish Triangle Pattern
There are 2 types of bullish triangle patterns – symmetrical and ascending as demonstrated in the following figures:
Type 1 – Bullish Symmetrical Triangle
1. A stock is in an uptrend
2. It forms a symmetrical triangle
3. It breaks out from the triangle and goes higher

Type 2 – Bullish Ascending Triangle
1. A stock is in an uptrend
2. It forms an ascending triangle
3. It breaks out from the triangle and goes higher

Let’s look at some examples:
The figure below shows ENTG formed a symmetrical triangle in May. Soon after that, the stock went from 2.0 and peaked at 3.4 with a percentage gain of over 70%.

Here’s another stock (FEED) that formed a symmetrical triangle in April. The stock jumped from $2.5 a share to $8 in less than 3 months. That is a 220% gain in value.

Let’s look at a stock with an ascending triangle, TSL, which is a solar company I used to swing trade pretty often. The stock doubled in value from $14 a share to $28 in one month right after it formed an ascending triangle in May.

Bearish Triangle Pattern
There are 2 types of bearish triangle patterns- symmetrical and descending as demonstrated in the following figures:
Type 1 – Bearish Symmetrical Triangle
1. A stock is in an downtrend
2. It forms a symmetrical triangle
3. It breaks out from the triangle and goes lower

Type 2 – Bearish Descending Triangle
1. A stock is in an downtrend
2. It forms a descending triangle
3. It breaks out from the triangle and goes lower

Here’s an example of a descending triangle. The stock LGN formed a descending triangle pattern at the end of May. It was a declining stock and continued to drop when the pattern was forming. It declined another 20% in less than 2 weeks after the pattern was formed.

MORE ABOUT TRIANGLES
Tags: ascending triangles, bearish descending triangle, bearish symmetrical triangle, bullish ascending triangle, bullish symmetrical triangle, descending triangles, downtrend, symmetrical triangles, Technical Analysis, technical indicators, traingles, uptrend Posted in Learn The Stock Market, Technical Analysis | Comments Off
Saturday, June 20th, 2009
Learn The Stock Market Lesson - How Coupons And Sales Relate to Trading
Coupons. A penny saved is a penny earned. Do not feel embarrassed about using a coupon that is only fifty cents discounted off the original price. This saving can contribute to paying off some of your ridiculous transaction commissions that our online trading broker website robs from us (E-Trade, Scott-Trade, etc.). Eight dollars for a transaction just to buy some stocks and another eight just to sell them? That’s absurd, especially if you haven’t made any profit from the stock. These commissions do contribute to losses and minimizes our profits! So every penny saved helps.
But watch out for those coupons. They can be evil sometimes. In a sense, coupons lure you in to buy the items that you might not need at all. This again relates to trading: don’t buy a stock simply because it looks good, without appropriately studying the stock or having a reasonable trading method. Just like how you shouldn’t use the coupon because the item is at a cheaper price, you should not buy a stock simply because it is cheap. For example: penny stocks. Most of us can afford to buy a couple of penny stocks but why do we not? There is a very high risk to them and therefore, we cannot associate buying something only because they’re cheap. Cheap prices are attractive but sometimes we need to control our desires if we still want to have some decent amount of money in our bank.
Also, just because an item has dropped in price (perhaps due to the coupon or a sale), which makes it cheaper than it initially was, does not mean that you should buy it. Many of us do so because we believe that the price of the item will go back up so we tend to take advantage of sales and coupons, even for those items that we do not need. However, we have to be careful to not use the same method when it comes to trading! It is so easy to get attracted to cheap, fallen prices but remember: We cannot buy a stock just because it has dropped in price, thinking foolishly that the stock “has” to go back up with no apparent reason other than that it “has” to! That would be speculation. What comes up most often comes down at times, but what comes down…unfortunately does not always come back up all the time (as you can probably tell from all our bankrupt companies). Therefore, we cannot assume that the stock price will go up. The stock market has no guarantees: the stock can keep going down and disappear…and so can your investments.
I agree that the idea of buying a large block of $1, $2, or $5 stock and watching it double is exciting. The only problem is that your odds of winning the lottery may be better. Here’s the fact: investing in stocks is not the same thing as buying a car or a shirt on sale. Cheap stocks involve far greater risk. A historical fact is that of best-performing stocks in the last 45 years, the average per share price before it doubled or tripled was $28 a share.
Given this comparison between coupons, sales, and trading, I hope you do not let prices and its mere appearance (without studying, perhaps, fundamental analysis or technical analysis) affect your decision whether or not to buy a stock. Think before you act.
Tags: bankrupt, commission, coupon, e-trade, fundamental analysis, investing, penny stocks, risk, scott-trade, speculation, Technical Analysis, trading, volatile Posted in Learn The Stock Market | Comments Off
Saturday, June 13th, 2009
Adam Hewison of the Market Club analyzes the current trend of Crude Oil. In his analysis, he points out how crude oil formed a reverse head and shoulder pattern and by using trend lines, one is able to predict the direction the crude oil is heading.

He also discusses Fibonacci retracements strategies to trade crude. In summary, Hewison thinks crude oil will go up. It may pulled back a little before going higher again.
Tags: adam hewison, analysis for crude oil, crude oil, fibonacci, fibonacci retracements, head and shoulder pattern, market club, Technical Analysis Posted in Daily Stock Picks | Comments Off
Thursday, May 28th, 2009
Learn The Stock Market Lesson - Bears, Bulls, Hogs, And Sheep
Legend has it that Wall Street was named after a wall that was designed to keep farm animals from wandering around Manhattan. Today, four animals are still frequently mentioned on Wall Street: bears and bulls, hogs and sheep. Stock traders often say, “Bulls make money, bears make money, but hogs get slaughtered.”
Here is how you can remember each of the 4 animals and what they symbolize:
Bulls- When a bull attacks, he has a tendency to lower his horns and strike upwards. Therefore, the term “bull market,” means a rising stock market. A bull is a buyer – a person who bets on a rally and profits from a rise in prices. The trader would also be known as a bullish trader.
Bears- A bear fights with its paw, striking downwards. Therefore, the term “bear market,” means a falling stock market. A bear is a seller – a person who bets on a decline and profits from a fall in prices. The trader would also be known as a bearish trader.
Hogs/Pigs- Hogs are greedy and get slaughtered when he loses site of his original strategy and becomes too greedy. They are tempted to buy shares which they cannot afford due to their greed of being able to make quick cash. They are often unable to control their emotions, panic, and make bad decisions, which is why they get slaughtered in the long run. Some hogs overstay their positions—waiting for profits to get bigger even after the trend has reversed itself.
Sheep- Sheep usually has no trading strategy. In Dr. Alexander Elder’s wonderful book, “Trading for a Living,” he describes sheep as being “passive and fearful followers of trends, tips, and gurus…You recognize them by their pitiful bleating when the market becomes volatile.”
What happens during the open market?
Bulls are buying, bears are selling, hogs and sheep get trampled while the undecided traders wait on the sidelines, watching and waiting for the “right” time to come in. A trade occurs when there is a consensus between a buyer and a seller—either a bull agrees to a seller’s terms and pays, or a bear agrees to a buy’s terms and sells a little cheaper. The presence of undecided traders puts pressure on both bulls and bears because the buyer knows that if he waits too long, another trader can step in, snagging away his bargain. A seller knows that if he holds out on a high price for a long period of time, another trader may step in, trying to sell at a lower price. This pressure leads buyers and sellers to come to consent of a price, causing a transaction to be processed.
Keep in mind that without a distinct and disciplined trading strategy and using techniques such as technical analysis and fundamental analysis, you may become either a hog or a sheep and you will eventually be washed out by the market. (I will be discussing some trading techniques such as technical and fundamental in a later post).
Source Used: Trading for a Living: Psychology, Trading Tactics, Money Management Written by Dr. Alexander Elder
(This is a GREAT beginner’s book. I recommend everyone to at least read this book, if not own a copy of it. It is pretty cheap on Amazon.com if you want your own copy or you can look in your local library.)


Tags: alexander elder, bear market, bears, bull market, bulls, fundamental analysis, hogs, price, sheep, stock market, Technical Analysis, trading for a living, wall street Posted in Learn The Stock Market | Comments Off
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(1) The importance of psychology in price movement
(2) How to spot mega trends
(3) Understanding of technical price objectives
(4) How to picture price objectives
(5) How to trade with moving averages
(6) How to use point and figure trading techniques
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