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Posts Tagged ‘support and resistance’

What is Technical Analysis?

Monday, January 30th, 2012

Learn The Stock Market Lesson - What is Technical Analysis?

Technical analysis, as opposed to fundamental analysis, is the study of market action, primarily through the use of charts. The technician believes that anything affecting the price, such as fundamentally or psychologically, will be reflected on charts. Technicians believe that the market discounts everything and that any news about a company is already priced into the stock. Keep in mind that the charts do not cause market action, but rather, they reflect the actions of the marketplace and what has already happened. However, this does not mean you should not study fundamental analysis, since it is just as important.

Technical analysis is applied social psychology because when you analyze charts, you are analyzing the behavior of traders. Charts reflect trades by all market participants: buyers, sellers, and even insiders. Each price on the charts reflects the actions or lack of actions by all the traders in the market.

Technical indicators help make our analysis more objective as it seeks to recognize trends and changes in crowd behavior so that intelligent trading decisions can be made. Technical analysts study charts to find out whether the bulls or bears are in control. They look at past charts for repetitive price patterns and study to recognize the early stages of uptrends and downtrends.

There are 2 main types of technical analysis: classical and computerized.

1. Classical analysis – This is based only on the study of charts, without using anything more complex than a pencil and a ruler. This is mainly the focus on uptrends and downtrends, support and resistance zones, as well as repetitive patterns, such as triangles and rectangles. Its main drawback is its subjectivity: if you are bullish, your ruler will tend to inch up and likewise, if you are bearish, your ruler will tend to inch down.

2. Computerized analysis – This is more of a modern approach whose signals are much more objective. The 2 main types are trend-following indicators and oscillators. Trend-following indicators include moving averages, Directional System, and MACD (moving average convergence-divergence), which all help to identify trends. Oscillators, such as Stochastic and Relative Strength Index (RSI) help identify reversals.

As you can observe, technical analysis is partly a science and partly an art—partly objective and partly subjective.

But be careful because charts are full of false breakouts, false reversals, and flat trading ranges.

What is Support and Resistance?

Tuesday, July 28th, 2009

Learn the Stock Market Lesson – Support and Resistance

Support and resistance is a concept in technical analysis, which is essential to understand in order to master reading price trends and pattern charts.

–> What is Resistance?

Example – Assume that Bob has been holding shares in Microsoft for 2 months and notices that, during that time period, its price had failed to pass $25 several times. However, he also notices the price has gotten very close to moving above $25. In this example, the price level near $25 is a level of resistance. If the price were to rise above $25, there would be a break in the resistance.

As you can probably assume from the example above, resistance refers to the price at which a stock trades, but not exceed past, for a period of time. The stock stops rising and does not break resistance because sellers start to outnumber buyers.
In other words, this resistance price level occurs when selling is sufficient enough to disrupt or reverse an uptrend. It is represented on a chart by a horizontal line that connects several tops, signifying that sellers are overpowering buyers. Resistance is also regarded as a ceiling because its price level prevents the prices from moving up and past it.

resistance

When the price reaches the resistance level, supply is believed to be stronger than the demand, which means that it is preventing the price from rising above the resistance. However, resistance does not always hold and when it breaks, it signals that the bulls have beaten the bears in that fight, creating new highs.

–> What is Support?

The support price level occurs when buying is sufficient enough to disrupt or reverse a downtrend. It is represented on a chart by a horizontal line that connects several bottoms, signifying that buyers are overpowering sellers. Support is also regarded as a floor because its price level prevents the prices from falling below it.

support

When the price reaches the support level, demand is believed to be stronger than the supply, which means that it is preventing the price from falling below the support. However, support does not always hold and when it breaks, it signals that the bears have beaten the bulls in that fight, creating new lows.


support n resistance

–> Strength of Support and Resistance

The strength of support and resistance is important because it helps you determine whether the trend is likely to continue or if it is going to reverse. Their significance can be determined by the:

- length of time they spend in a support or resistance area (the longer the period of time, the more significant the area is),

- volume (if a support or resistance level is formed on heavy volume, the level is regarded as more important than if formed on low volume),

- time (the more recent the trading took place, the more important it is)

–> False Breakouts

But beware of false breakouts. For example, the market might break a price resistance and rally, but then quickly reverses and falls. Likewise, the market can also break support briefly just before it reverses and rallies. Professionals love false breakouts because it provides one of the best trading opportunities.
Breakouts are similar to tails except that tails have a single wide bar, but false breakouts can have several bars, none of which are especially tall.

Stock Market Education

- My Stock Broker
- What is Fundamental Analysis?
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- Why are economic indicators important when buying stocks?
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- Trading Psychology
- Futures Trading - What are Futures?
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- Reverse Splits: Meaning and Purpose
- Stock Splits: Meaning and Purpose
- Stocks VS. Bonds
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- Top 5 fundamental analysis books
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Technical Analysis

- What is Technical Analysis?
- Swing Trading Strategies
- How to use technical indicators?
- My Trading Software
- Types of Technical Indicators
- Volume Indicator
- Simple Moving Average
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- Support and Resistance
- What are Double Tops and Bottoms?
- What are Triple Tops and Bottoms?
- Trendlines
- How to Trade Channels?
- Triangle Patterns
- Flag and Pennant Patterns
- Head and Shoulders Pattern
- Bullish Crossovers
- Divergence Patterns
- How To Screen For Stocks

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(1) The importance of psychology in price movement
(2) How to spot mega trends
(3) Understanding of technical price objectives
(4) How to picture price objectives
(5) How to trade with moving averages
(6) How to use point and figure trading techniques
(7) How to use the RSI indicator
(8) How to correctly use stochastics in your trading
(9) How to use the ADX indicator to capture trends
(10) How to capitalize on natural market cycles.

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Bearish Stock Patterns

Bearish Hanging Man Pattern
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On Balance Volume (Obv) Pattern
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Price & Moving Average Crossdown Pattern
Macd Crossdown Pattern
Weekly Macd Crossdown Pattern
Weekly Stochastic Crossdown Pattern
Day Volume Percentage Down Pattern
Relative Strength Index (Rsi) Crossdown Pattern
On Balance Volume (Obv) Moving Down Pattern
Average True Range (Atr) Moving Down Pattern