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Posts Tagged ‘recession’

Brink of Bankruptcy

Wednesday, May 27th, 2009

Will this be the end of General Motors? Bondholders have rejected a debt exchange offer from GM, which expired at midnight last night. The United States’ biggest automaker has failed to persuade enough creditors to ingest their losses and is now approaching their deadline that the Obama administration has set for them–June 1, which is next Monday. This leaves GM the rest of the week and the weekend to finish restructuring for a possible miracle or resort to filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, which is more than likely to happen.

One thing is for sure: GM’s uncertainty over its finances has hurt sales of their cars, as consumers worry about matters such as warranty protection. Would you purchase your own car from a company that is nearly bankrupt? For many people, this bankruptcy issue does not affect their personal interest, as the case shows that Chrysler’s sales have been holding up well even though they had recently filed for bankruptcy.

Does the news of GM dampen our optimistic attitude about the economy and its possible recovery by this year? More than 90% of economists predicted that the recession will end this year, acknowledging that the recovery will be bumpy and slow. Nevertheless, this news still may have a significant impact on consumer confidence, although there has been some positive reading in that consumer confidence has been improving lately. However the reality is that the economy is still very weak, which is also stated by Alan Gayle, senior investment strategist at RidgeWorth Capital Management.

Released Stress Test Results

Friday, May 8th, 2009

Exhale. The stress tests results of the nation’s 19 largest banks have been announced. For some, this wasn’t pleasant as some banks find out that they did not have enough capital to withstand a prolonged recession. For others, it was relieving, providing a decent amount of comfort to our investors, along with the public as whole. Overall, the results have established that those banks can withstand to lose approximately $600 billion in a bleak economic situation.

Results showed that 10 of the bank holding companies need to raise an additional $74.6 billion in new capital. Of the 10, Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) needs to raise the largest amount: $33.9 billion. Wells Fargo (NYSE: WF) comes in second place. Other banks include KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY), Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C), Fifth Third Bancorp (NYSE: FITB), Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS), GMAC LLC (NYSE: GJM), PNC Financial Services Group Inc. (NYSE: PNC), SunTrust Banks Inc. (NYSE: STI), and Regions Financial Corp (NYSE: RF).

These banks will have 6 months to fill their capital shortfalls but they are to submit their plans to federal regulators by June to show how they will fabricate the capital needed.

Some suggestions are:

1) selling stocks - Wells Fargo plans to sell common stocks to bolster their capital base
2) selling business units- Fifth Third Bancorp sold 51% of its processing business, which handled credit card, debit and other transactions, to Advent International. This deal increased FITB’s capital levels by $1.2 billion.
3) selling securities – Each of the banks can sell government issued-bonds and other various types of securities to generate capital.
4) TARP- The Troubled Asset Relief Program still has $110 billion in cash available for investment.

Fortunately for the 9 other banks, they do not need to raise additional capital. These banks include: US Bancorp (NYSE: USB), Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (NYSE: BK), Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS), Capital One Financial Corp. (NYSE: COF,) JP Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM), BB&T Corp. (NYSE: BBT), State Street Corp. (NYSE: STT), and MetLife Inc. (NYSE: MET).

With that said, if you are still not quite sure about what the stress test entails and its purpose, please feel free to read “Stressing Out” published on May 3 on this following website. It might be able to provide you pieces and probable answers to any questions that you might have.

OUTRAGE — AIG’s Bonus payouts

Monday, March 16th, 2009

AIG, once the nation’s largest insurer, have caused extreme outrages regarding bonus payouts to its executives. Have people already forgotten about the $173 billion bailout funds they received from the government just a couple months ago? Now, according to AIG’s legal contracts mandating that bonuses be paid, which are deals claimed to have been made before the bailout last year, AIG plans to pay its executives $165 million in bonuses as their retention pay. With taxpayers’ money! (We must not forget that us, taxpayers, own nearly 80% of AIG and without us, the contracts will essentially not be worth anything) As if the situation could not be any worse, this is just after AIG had reported that they had lost $61.7 billion for the fourth quarter of last year, the largest corporate loss in history.

President Obama and Secretary of Treasurer Timothy Geitner are aiming to propose any legal action possible to block the bonus payouts since it is rather hard to believe that these executives actually deserve bonuses after the giant had failed last year. However, they still do not have a list of the recipient of the bonuses. Also remember that most of these executives are the same ones that took part in selling risky financial contracts that had caused huge losses for AIG. To say that they deserve a reward after all that’s happened is certainly judged as outrageous by taxpayers, economists, Congress, etc.

Obama states, “This isn’t just a matter of dollars and cents. It’s about our fundamental values. All across the country, there are people who work hard and meet their responsibilities every day, without the benefit of government bailouts or multimillion-dollar bonuses. All they ask is that everyone, from Main Street to Wall Street to Washington, play by the same rules.”

Another reason why this issue has caused such commotion is something that many of us have neglected to realize. If the Obama administration proceeds with their legal actions and succeeds to prevent the executives from receiving the bonuses, it might inject an idea for future companies to use the same legal measures to break contracts that they themselves might find inconvenient. As Pearl Meyer states, they will be “raising a whole new question about the trust and commitment organizations have to their employees.”

Finally, on another note, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke announced that the recession might end as early at this year’s end. He has also stated that government has no intention of nationalizing banks, which is a relief for the market, alleviating many of our investors’ worries.

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